Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Donato wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 45.4% vs Bennett 46.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 76.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Donato
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Donato
Bennett
Last 9: Donato 7-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
1
Donato
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
0
Donato
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
3
1
Donato
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (400)
46.5% (909)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.7% (119)
43.1% (51)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.5% (13)
-5.2%
On power play, Donato has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Donato shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Donato
Bennett
Home
50.2% (279)
45.4% (449)
Away
38.2% (246)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Donato
Bennett
P1
44.6%
49.6%
P2
46.6%
43.7%
P3
42.0%
45.1%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |