Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Bennett
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Bennett 46.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 81.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
46.5% (909)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
43.1% (51)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
38.5% (13)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Home
48.9% (270)
45.4% (449)
Away
48.1% (287)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
P1
48.7%
49.6%
P2
50.0%
43.7%
P3
47.3%
45.1%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |