Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 57.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 51.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 55.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Bennett
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Bennett
Johnson
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Bennett
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Bennett
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,683)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.7% (555)
54.6% (885)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
42.3% (707)
-0.5%
On even strength, Johnson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Bennett shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Bennett
Johnson
Home
48.4% (3,262)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Bennett
Johnson
P1
48.0%
50.1%
P2
46.5%
50.6%
P3
46.9%
48.4%
OT
52.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |