Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Carrick 52.1% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Sutter 58.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 54.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Sutter
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
52.1% (2,513)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
61.3% (75)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.7% (430)
-4.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Sutter
Carrick
Home
50.6% (5,050)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Sutter
Carrick
P1
48.7%
51.8%
P2
50.3%
52.2%
P3
51.5%
52.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%