Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodzinski on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Brodzinski wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodzinski 71.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Brodzinski
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
Last 5: Brodzinski 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
3
2
Brodzinski
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (293)
53.9% (521)
-5.1%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
57.1% (35)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.5% (229)
+48.5%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brodzinski is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Brodzinski shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Carrick
Home
54.2% (144)
52.7% (408)
Away
46.9% (179)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Brodzinski
Carrick
P1
49.5%
51.4%
P2
45.5%
56.6%
P3
55.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |