Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Abols wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 54.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 83.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.1%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Abols
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Abols
Carrick
Last 5: Abols 5-0 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abols
3
0
Abols
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
2
0
Abols
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (109)
53.8% (654)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
63.9% (36)
+36.1%
On power play, Abols has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Abols is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Abols shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Abols
Carrick
Home
60.0% (65)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.3% (48)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Abols
Carrick
P1
58.8%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
66.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
65.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
58.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Rodrigo Abols |