Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Gagner 47.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 87.6%
Neutral zone
Burish 80.5%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Burish
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Burish
Gagner
Last 8: Burish 5-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Burish
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
0
Burish
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
2
1
Burish
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
47.6% (599)
+10.2%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
47.7% (86)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On even strength, Burish has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Burish shoots right. Gagner is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Burish
Gagner
Home
60.7% (183)
49.5% (331)
Away
51.5% (206)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Burish
Gagner
P1
53.3%
47.7%
P2
56.3%
43.9%
P3
57.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
61.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Adam Burish |