Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Gagner 42.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 67.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 71.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Henrique
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Henrique
Gagner
Last 9: Henrique 7-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
34.5% (84)
+10.0%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
38.5% (13)
+8.9%
On even strength, Henrique has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Henrique is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Henrique shoots left. Gagner is 29.7% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Henrique
Gagner
Home
46.9% (680)
32.6% (46)
Away
42.5% (701)
37.3% (51)
By Period
Henrique
Gagner
P1
43.0%
34.5%
P2
46.2%
23.3%
P3
46.2%
45.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |