Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs Gagner 48.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 82.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 64.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 68.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Kopitar
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kopitar
Gagner
Last 7: Kopitar 2-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Kopitar
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Kopitar
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
47.3% (395)
+8.0%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
50.0% (62)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
50.0% (4)
-1.4%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kopitar is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Kopitar shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gagner
Home
55.6% (901)
49.4% (267)
Away
52.7% (915)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Kopitar
Gagner
P1
53.3%
47.5%
P2
55.3%
48.5%
P3
53.6%
48.1%
OT
59.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |