Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Little wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Gagner 44.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Little
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Little
Gagner
Last 6: Little 1-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Little
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
43.1% (758)
+3.5%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
50.3% (147)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
34.6% (26)
+3.0%
On even strength, Little has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Little is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Little shoots right. Gagner is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Little
Gagner
Home
48.6% (623)
47.4% (468)
Away
44.2% (708)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Little
Gagner
P1
46.3%
43.8%
P2
44.2%
43.8%
P3
48.1%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |