Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.1% vs 43.9%). Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hecht wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.9% vs Gagner 44.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Hecht
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Hecht
Gagner
Last 9: Hecht 7-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
5
1
Hecht
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (558)
43.1% (758)
-1.3%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
50.3% (147)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (93)
34.6% (26)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hecht is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Hecht shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Hecht
Gagner
Home
44.7% (356)
47.4% (468)
Away
41.6% (373)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Hecht
Gagner
P1
41.9%
43.8%
P2
45.0%
43.8%
P3
42.0%
44.0%
OT
45.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |