Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Gagner 47.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 53.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Colborne
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Colborne
Gagner
Last 8: Colborne 2-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Colborne
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Colborne
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Colborne
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
45.9% (815)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
55.3% (132)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
25.0% (16)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Colborne is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Colborne shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Colborne
Gagner
Home
53.9% (243)
48.7% (542)
Away
41.9% (198)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Colborne
Gagner
P1
48.3%
45.1%
P2
50.4%
46.6%
P3
47.3%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | OT | 01:32 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |