Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 46.2% vs Gagner 47.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 62.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Franzen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Franzen
Gagner
Last 8: Franzen 5-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Franzen
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
1
Franzen
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
3
1
Franzen
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (142)
47.6% (599)
-3.2%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
47.7% (86)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Franzen is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Franzen shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Franzen
Gagner
Home
45.3% (95)
49.5% (331)
Away
42.9% (84)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Franzen
Gagner
P1
44.1%
47.7%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
36.5%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |