Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.8% vs Gagner 44.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 57.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Mitchell
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mitchell
Gagner
Last 5: Mitchell 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Mitchell
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (231)
42.1% (575)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
55.3% (123)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
65.2% (46)
34.9% (43)
+30.3%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Mitchell is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Mitchell shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Gagner
Home
59.0% (134)
45.6% (375)
Away
43.8% (210)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Mitchell
Gagner
P1
48.0%
40.1%
P2
49.2%
42.2%
P3
50.9%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Mitchell |