Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 51.5% vs Gagner 47.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 81.9%
Defensive zone
Goc 59.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 63.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Goc
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goc
Gagner
Last 5: Goc 1-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
0
Goc
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Goc
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Goc
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (727)
47.6% (599)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.8% (69)
47.7% (86)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (159)
60.0% (5)
-16.0%
On power play, Goc has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Goc is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Goc shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Goc
Gagner
Home
54.7% (468)
49.5% (331)
Away
48.8% (510)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Goc
Gagner
P1
48.9%
47.7%
P2
53.0%
43.9%
P3
52.4%
51.8%
OT
60.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |