Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.8% vs Gagner 44.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 59.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 92.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 86.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Spaling
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spaling
Gagner
Last 5: Spaling 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (353)
43.1% (758)
+8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.3% (147)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (136)
34.6% (26)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Spaling is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Spaling shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Spaling
Gagner
Home
49.2% (260)
47.4% (468)
Away
52.7% (237)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Spaling
Gagner
P1
55.2%
43.8%
P2
49.7%
43.8%
P3
47.7%
44.0%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |