Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 61.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 92.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 83.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Spaling
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Spaling
Gagner
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
5
Spaling
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
8
1
Spaling
Gagner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
0
Spaling
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.1%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
51.5% (928)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
35.0% (226)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Spaling
Gagner
Home
51.9% (1,437)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Spaling
Gagner
P1
49.8%
44.6%
P2
48.3%
46.1%
P3
52.0%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |