Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 96.4%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 85.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Gagner
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Gagner
Pahlsson
Last 10: Gagner 4-6 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
6
5
Gagner
Pahlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
5
Gagner
Pahlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
4
9
Gagner
Pahlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
53.0% (1,716)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
60.0% (35)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
49.8% (548)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Gagner
Pahlsson
Home
48.7% (3,025)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Gagner
Pahlsson
P1
44.6%
54.6%
P2
46.1%
50.7%
P3
47.3%
51.8%
OT
42.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |