Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Nichol 58.2% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 92.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 81.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 89.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Gagner
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
15
(18 meetings)
3
15
Gagner
Nichol
Last 10: Gagner 2-8 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Gagner
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
10
Gagner
Nichol
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
3
Gagner
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
59.0% (948)
-13.6%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
42.9% (14)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
59.5% (185)
-24.5%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Gagner shoots right. Nichol is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Gagner
Nichol
Home
48.7% (3,025)
59.7% (576)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Gagner
Nichol
P1
44.6%
58.4%
P2
46.1%
57.3%
P3
47.3%
61.1%
OT
42.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |