Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gagner wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 44.4% vs Nichol 57.8% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 80.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 75.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 79.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Gagner
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Gagner
Nichol
Last 10: Gagner 2-8 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
5
Gagner
Nichol
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Gagner
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (758)
58.6% (394)
-15.5%
Power Play
50.3% (147)
71.4% (7)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
61.5% (78)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Gagner is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Gagner shoots right. Nichol is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Gagner
Nichol
Home
47.4% (468)
56.1% (246)
Away
40.3% (467)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Gagner
Nichol
P1
43.8%
57.7%
P2
43.8%
58.1%
P3
44.0%
62.8%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |