Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 44.6% vs Nichol 57.2% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 76.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 67.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 76.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Gagner
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gagner
Nichol
Last 5: Gagner 1-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Gagner
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Gagner
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (575)
61.7% (183)
-19.6%
Power Play
55.3% (123)
0.0% (3)
+55.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
59.4% (32)
-24.5%
On power play, Gagner has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Gagner shoots right. Nichol is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Gagner
Nichol
Home
45.6% (375)
69.6% (115)
Away
42.1% (366)
50.5% (103)
By Period
Gagner
Nichol
P1
40.1%
64.1%
P2
42.2%
52.7%
P3
48.2%
64.6%
OT
56.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |