Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 69.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Gagner
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Gagner
Couturier
Last 10: Gagner 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
6
4
Gagner
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Gagner
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Gagner
Couturier
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
52.5% (11,063)
-7.1%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
59.7% (1,280)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
48.5% (1,816)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Gagner
Couturier
Home
48.7% (3,025)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Gagner
Couturier
P1
44.6%
52.5%
P2
46.1%
52.6%
P3
47.3%
52.9%
OT
42.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |