Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 84.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 62.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 73.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Gagner
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Gagner
Horcoff
Last 10: Gagner 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Gagner
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
4
Gagner
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Gagner
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
50.6% (3,133)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
51.4% (555)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
43.0% (567)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Gagner
Horcoff
Home
48.7% (3,025)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Gagner
Horcoff
P1
44.6%
48.2%
P2
46.1%
49.5%
P3
47.3%
50.9%
OT
42.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 1, 2013 | OT | 03:55 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 1, 2013 | OT | 03:50 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |