Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gagner wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Horcoff 50.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 82.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 56.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 64.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Gagner
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Gagner
Horcoff
Last 10: Gagner 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
4
Gagner
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Gagner
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
50.5% (374)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
55.0% (60)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (38)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Gagner shoots right. Horcoff is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Gagner
Horcoff
Home
47.1% (367)
50.2% (263)
Away
46.5% (404)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Gagner
Horcoff
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
47.9%
53.2%
P3
43.4%
48.7%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |