Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 61.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Gagner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Gagner
Crosby
Last 10: Gagner 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
10
Gagner
Crosby
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
7
3
Gagner
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
0
Gagner
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
52.8% (17,990)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
47.1% (765)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Gagner
Crosby
Home
48.7% (3,025)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Gagner
Crosby
P1
44.6%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
53.9%
P3
47.3%
53.3%
OT
42.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |