Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gagner wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Crosby 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 74.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Gagner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gagner
Crosby
Last 7: Gagner 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
1
Gagner
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
49.4% (1,194)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
52.6% (350)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.4% (53)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Gagner shoots right. Crosby is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Gagner
Crosby
Home
47.1% (367)
51.3% (776)
Away
46.5% (404)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Gagner
Crosby
P1
49.6%
50.5%
P2
47.9%
51.3%
P3
43.4%
47.8%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |