Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 29.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 42.6% vs Crosby 51.6% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Gagner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gagner
Crosby
Last 6: Gagner 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Gagner
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (84)
51.9% (1,456)
-17.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
52.8% (392)
-14.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Gagner is 29.7% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Gagner shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Gagner
Crosby
Home
32.6% (46)
52.4% (976)
Away
37.3% (51)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Gagner
Crosby
P1
34.5%
51.6%
P2
23.3%
53.1%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
23.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
35.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |