Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gagner wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Gionta 42.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 92.1%
Defensive zone
Gionta 62.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 76.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Gagner
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Gagner
Gionta
Last 7: Gagner 6-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
0
Gagner
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Gagner
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
40.3% (303)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
66.7% (6)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.8% (85)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Gagner shoots right. Gionta is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Gagner
Gionta
Home
47.1% (367)
42.8% (166)
Away
46.5% (404)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Gagner
Gionta
P1
49.6%
41.7%
P2
47.9%
42.3%
P3
43.4%
37.8%
OT
43.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 23, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 23, 2015 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |