Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 76.7%
Defensive zone
Ott 69.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 63.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Gagner
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Gagner
Ott
Last 10: Gagner 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
11
4
Gagner
Ott
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
13
Gagner
Ott
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gagner
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
57.2% (2,802)
-11.8%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
55.4% (567)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
49.9% (853)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Gagner
Ott
Home
48.7% (3,025)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Gagner
Ott
P1
44.6%
56.7%
P2
46.1%
53.9%
P3
47.3%
55.7%
OT
42.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |