Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Ott 54.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 94.1%
Neutral zone
Ott 82.1%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Gagner
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gagner
Ott
Last 6: Gagner 4-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Gagner
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
59.6% (228)
-14.0%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
71.4% (7)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.8% (49)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Gagner shoots right. Ott is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Gagner
Ott
Home
47.1% (367)
61.9% (126)
Away
46.5% (404)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Gagner
Ott
P1
49.6%
65.4%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
43.4%
55.1%
OT
43.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |