Scouting Report
Todd Marchant holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Marchant 48.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 69.8%
Defensive zone
Marchant 86.4%
Neutral zone
Marchant 62.1%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Gagner
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gagner
Marchant
Last 5: Gagner 4-1 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Marchant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Marchant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
50.5% (368)
-5.1%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
28.6% (7)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
42.4% (158)
-7.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Gagner
Marchant
Home
48.7% (3,025)
50.3% (302)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Gagner
Marchant
P1
44.6%
46.3%
P2
46.1%
49.7%
P3
47.3%
48.1%
OT
42.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |