Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 48.0% vs Zajac 54.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 89.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 72.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Gagner
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gagner
Zajac
Last 7: Gagner 2-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Gagner
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
54.1% (1,208)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.4% (115)
60.9% (230)
-10.5%
On power play, Zajac has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Gagner shoots right. Zajac is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Gagner
Zajac
Home
52.4% (212)
56.3% (778)
Away
42.7% (213)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Gagner
Zajac
P1
46.2%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
54.6%
P3
43.6%
53.1%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |