Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Ennis 41.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Ennis leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ennis 62.6%
Defensive zone
Ennis 59.3%
Neutral zone
Ennis 57.4%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Gagner
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Gagner
Ennis
Last 10: Gagner 3-7 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
2
Gagner
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
0
Gagner
Ennis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
8
Gagner
Ennis
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
40.7% (1,404)
+4.7%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
45.5% (167)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
38.1% (21)
-3.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Ennis is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Gagner
Ennis
Home
48.7% (3,025)
43.6% (834)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Gagner
Ennis
P1
44.6%
39.4%
P2
46.1%
43.1%
P3
47.3%
41.7%
OT
42.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |