Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ennis on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Gagner wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.1% vs Ennis 40.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Ennis leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ennis 70.3%
Defensive zone
Ennis 60.6%
Neutral zone
Ennis 62.0%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Gagner
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Gagner
Ennis
Last 10: Gagner 3-7 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
2
Gagner
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
0
Gagner
Ennis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
8
Gagner
Ennis
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (815)
38.3% (553)
+7.6%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
40.9% (66)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
50.0% (6)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Gagner shoots right. Ennis is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Gagner
Ennis
Home
48.7% (542)
39.5% (306)
Away
44.4% (421)
37.9% (319)
By Period
Gagner
Ennis
P1
45.1%
35.9%
P2
46.6%
43.6%
P3
49.7%
37.4%
OT
25.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |