Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 79.0%
Defensive zone
Gagner 69.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 85.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Gagner
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Gagner
Sobotka
Last 10: Gagner 2-8 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
4
10
Gagner
Sobotka
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
3
7
Gagner
Sobotka
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
3
Gagner
Sobotka
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
56.9% (2,613)
-11.5%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
57.0% (223)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
50.6% (447)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Sobotka is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Gagner
Sobotka
Home
48.7% (3,025)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Gagner
Sobotka
P1
44.6%
56.2%
P2
46.1%
56.3%
P3
47.3%
55.3%
OT
42.0%
61.4%
Final 5 min
45.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |