Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 44.4% vs Sobotka 51.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 56.6%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 84.9%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 75.3%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Gagner
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gagner
Sobotka
Last 5: Gagner 4-1 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (758)
55.4% (323)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.3% (147)
42.9% (28)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
38.5% (65)
-3.9%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Gagner shoots right. Sobotka is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Gagner
Sobotka
Home
47.4% (468)
52.1% (213)
Away
40.3% (467)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Gagner
Sobotka
P1
43.8%
51.2%
P2
43.8%
49.0%
P3
44.0%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |