Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.1% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 77.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 77.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Gagner
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Gagner
Sobotka
Last 9: Gagner 2-7 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Gagner
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Gagner
Sobotka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (815)
62.0% (637)
-16.1%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
62.6% (91)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
60.0% (85)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Gagner shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Gagner
Sobotka
Home
48.7% (542)
65.8% (371)
Away
44.4% (421)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Gagner
Sobotka
P1
45.1%
63.0%
P2
46.6%
61.4%
P3
49.7%
60.7%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |