Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.4%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Dalpe 47.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 59.1%
Defensive zone
Dalpe 69.0%
Neutral zone
Dalpe 55.6%
Result
Zac Dalpe favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Gagner
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gagner
Dalpe
Last 7: Gagner 4-3 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Dalpe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
2
Gagner
Dalpe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Dalpe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
46.3% (458)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
65.0% (20)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
25.0% (12)
+10.0%
On power play, Dalpe has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Gagner shoots right. Dalpe is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Gagner
Dalpe
Home
48.7% (3,025)
45.8% (238)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Gagner
Dalpe
P1
44.6%
44.6%
P2
46.1%
50.6%
P3
47.3%
43.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |