Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 45.9%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.1% vs Dalpe 47.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.9%
Defensive zone
Dalpe 66.4%
Neutral zone
Dalpe 60.1%
Result
Zac Dalpe favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Gagner
Dalpe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gagner
Dalpe
Last 6: Gagner 4-2 Dalpe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Dalpe
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dalpe
0
1
Gagner
Dalpe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
0
Gagner
Dalpe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (815)
45.0% (218)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
66.7% (12)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Gagner shoots right. Dalpe is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Gagner
Dalpe
Home
48.7% (542)
45.3% (117)
Away
44.4% (421)
46.5% (114)
By Period
Gagner
Dalpe
P1
45.1%
46.7%
P2
46.6%
48.1%
P3
49.7%
42.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zac Dalpe |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |