Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.9% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 68.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 56.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Strome
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Strome
Reinhart
Last 8: Strome 7-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (894)
49.4% (259)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.5% (182)
54.4% (136)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
47.9% (71)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Strome is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Strome shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Strome
Reinhart
Home
46.4% (513)
54.9% (235)
Away
51.0% (569)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Strome
Reinhart
P1
44.9%
52.3%
P2
50.8%
50.0%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
77.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |