Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +28.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Reinhart 38.2% (+28.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 88.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 95.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Thompson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thompson
Reinhart
Last 6: Thompson 5-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
22.6% (84)
+31.8%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
100.0% (2)
-54.2%
On power play, Reinhart has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Thompson shoots left. Reinhart is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Thompson
Reinhart
Home
55.3% (510)
22.9% (35)
Away
50.4% (546)
25.5% (51)
By Period
Thompson
Reinhart
P1
53.5%
22.2%
P2
52.2%
22.2%
P3
52.7%
28.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
24.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |