Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Crosby 55.5% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 63.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 62.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Reinhart
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Reinhart
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Reinhart
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Reinhart
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
53.7% (984)
-14.7%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
64.7% (241)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
64.3% (14)
-23.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Reinhart shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Crosby
Home
35.7% (84)
56.9% (649)
Away
41.3% (63)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Reinhart
Crosby
P1
42.6%
55.8%
P2
34.7%
53.2%
P3
37.3%
58.7%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |