Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.3%). Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 50.6% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 51.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 50.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Galchenyuk
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Galchenyuk
Steel
Last 5: Galchenyuk 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (112)
49.7% (638)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.3% (63)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
42.4% (33)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Galchenyuk is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Steel
Home
43.9% (57)
47.3% (349)
Away
56.8% (74)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Steel
P1
43.6%
51.2%
P2
59.6%
49.8%
P3
47.7%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |