Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Suomela wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Steel 49.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 64.4%
Defensive zone
Suomela 61.8%
Neutral zone
Suomela 63.2%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Suomela
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Suomela
Steel
Last 8: Suomela 0-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Suomela
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Suomela
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
5
Suomela
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
49.5% (204)
-4.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.1% (7)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suomela is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Suomela shoots left. Steel is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Suomela
Steel
Home
50.0% (102)
53.2% (77)
Away
40.2% (127)
46.9% (143)
By Period
Suomela
Steel
P1
49.3%
45.5%
P2
37.9%
49.4%
P3
47.8%
52.5%
Final 5 min
38.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |