Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansson wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansson 44.3% vs Steel 52.3% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 69.2%
Defensive zone
Johansson 65.5%
Neutral zone
Johansson 70.3%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Johansson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Johansson
Steel
Last 5: Johansson 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansson
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Johansson
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (68)
51.6% (401)
-13.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (39)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
44.4% (9)
-19.4%
On power play, Steel has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Johansson is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Johansson shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Johansson
Steel
Home
34.4% (32)
55.8% (206)
Away
39.6% (53)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Johansson
Steel
P1
42.4%
57.0%
P2
29.6%
50.7%
P3
45.0%
51.0%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |