Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Wright 43.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 55.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 50.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.8%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Steel
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Steel
Wright
Last 6: Steel 3-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Steel
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.0%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
45.8% (131)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
33.3% (6)
+4.1%
On power play, Steel has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Steel shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Steel
Wright
Home
50.0% (1,560)
44.2% (746)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Steel
Wright
P1
51.9%
44.4%
P2
49.5%
40.7%
P3
49.6%
44.0%
OT
41.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |