Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 91.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 78.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 89.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Steel
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Steel
Jost
Last 10: Steel 8-2 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
1
Steel
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
2
Steel
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
41.0% (2,014)
+9.6%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
34.2% (73)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
35.3% (255)
+2.1%
On power play, Steel has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Steel shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Steel
Jost
Home
50.0% (1,560)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Steel
Jost
P1
51.9%
38.5%
P2
49.5%
41.2%
P3
49.6%
40.9%
OT
41.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 4, 2020 | OT | 02:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |