Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 53.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 68.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Steel
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Steel
Rask
Last 10: Steel 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
3
5
Steel
Rask
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
4
Steel
Rask
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Steel
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.6%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
54.3% (363)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
35.2% (54)
+2.2%
On power play, Steel has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Steel shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Steel
Rask
Home
50.0% (1,560)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Steel
Rask
P1
51.9%
50.7%
P2
49.5%
48.9%
P3
49.6%
50.7%
OT
41.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |