Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 52.3% vs Rask 46.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 58.2%
Defensive zone
Rask 61.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 62.3%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Steel
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Steel
Rask
Last 10: Steel 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Steel
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Steel
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Steel
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (401)
45.5% (442)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
44.7% (38)
+22.0%
On power play, Steel has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Steel shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Steel
Rask
Home
55.8% (206)
45.6% (228)
Away
50.2% (243)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Steel
Rask
P1
57.0%
45.1%
P2
50.7%
45.5%
P3
51.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Victor Rask |