Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 62.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 63.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 55.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Steel
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Steel
Smith
Last 5: Steel 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Steel
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Steel
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steel
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.0%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
51.2% (342)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
45.3% (985)
-7.9%
On power play, Steel has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Steel shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Steel
Smith
Home
50.0% (1,560)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Steel
Smith
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
49.6%
51.9%
OT
41.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |